Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.033186 0.038617 0.044593 0.051646 0.059733 0.068709 0.079416
2025-09-21 0.024376 0.031273 0.039561 0.050220 0.063525 0.079547 0.100260
2025-09-28 0.018896 0.026410 0.036162 0.049666 0.067790 0.091172 0.123504
2025-10-05 0.016183 0.024374 0.035740 0.052513 0.076461 0.109207 0.157115
2025-10-12 0.013868 0.022351 0.034849 0.054375 0.083819 0.126196 0.191327
2025-10-19 0.011299 0.019412 0.032061 0.052900 0.085958 0.135831 0.216016
2025-10-26 0.009516 0.017340 0.030187 0.052401 0.089293 0.147356 0.244545
2025-11-02 0.007907 0.015243 0.027895 0.050796 0.090504 0.155518 0.268493
2025-11-09 0.006673 0.013567 0.026021 0.049549 0.092012 0.164128 0.293843
2025-11-16 0.005828 0.012452 0.024944 0.049495 0.095465 0.176191 0.326021
2025-11-23 0.004971 0.011153 0.023317 0.048165 0.096392 0.183868 0.351223
2025-11-30 0.004625 0.010834 0.023515 0.050306 0.103948 0.204013 0.400518
2025-12-07 0.004090 0.010034 0.022661 0.050313 0.107530 0.217454 0.439308
2025-12-14 0.003511 0.009028 0.021230 0.048937 0.108200 0.225473 0.468726
2025-12-21 0.003083 0.008292 0.020265 0.048404 0.110503 0.236853 0.505746
2025-12-28 0.002941 0.008228 0.020786 0.051188 0.120106 0.263697 0.576032
2026-01-04 0.002747 0.007993 0.020878 0.053008 0.127814 0.287394 0.642094
2026-01-11 0.002387 0.007252 0.019646 0.051569 0.128085 0.295539 0.676546
2026-01-18 0.002124 0.006726 0.018861 0.051082 0.130452 0.308354 0.722056
2026-01-25 0.001845 0.006096 0.017707 0.049515 0.130075 0.315079 0.754890
2026-02-01 0.001618 0.005570 0.016746 0.048298 0.130375 0.323305 0.791750
2026-02-08 0.001464 0.005239 0.016257 0.048245 0.133534 0.338346 0.845354
2026-02-15 0.001284 0.004786 0.015355 0.046947 0.133370 0.345562 0.881467